← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 36% | 2.84 |
| Benevento win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Benevento +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 12' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Spal |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
| 62' | 🟥 | Patryk Peda · Spal |
| 68' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Benevento |
| 69' | 🟨 | Kamil Glik · Benevento |
| 74' | ⚽ | Riccardo Capellini · Benevento |
| 77' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Benevento |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 42.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1453.76 | 1506.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.07 | -27.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 27.54 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |