← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Nov 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · Frosinone Calcio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Daniel Boloca · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | 🟥 | Michele Collocolo · Ascoli |
| 70' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gianluca Frabotta · Frosinone Calcio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Roberto Insigne · Frosinone Calcio |
| 78' | 🟨 | Samuele Mulattieri · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 133.00 | 620.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1525.21 | 1560.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.22 | 46.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 19.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |