← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Sudtirol win | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sudtirol +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Nahitan Nández · Cagliari Calcio |
| 7' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 14' | 🟨 | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 38' | 🟨 | Matteo Rover · Sudtirol |
| 39' | ⚽ | Gianluca Lapadula · Cagliari Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Deiola · Cagliari Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · Sudtirol |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Viola · Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 96.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1510.96 | 1544.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.59 | -27.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.62 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 26.10 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |