← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Oct 30, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 40% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 17' | 🟨 | Edoardo Iannoni · Perugia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 34' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Edoardo Iannoni · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟥 | Edoardo Iannoni · Perugia |
| 48' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Magrassi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 29.00 | 486.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1447.90 | 1461.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.62 | -29.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.14 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |