← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.96 |
| Brescia win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Genoa CFC −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Genoa CFC |
| 36' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Milan Badelj · Genoa CFC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Milan Badelj · Genoa CFC |
| 77' | 🟥 | Milan Badelj · Genoa CFC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 301.00 | 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1613.18 | 1539.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.69 | -24.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.74 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |