← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Palermo win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Modena −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 14' | 🟨 | Mladen Devetak · Palermo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Nicola Valente · Palermo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Paulo Azzi · Modena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 22 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1093.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1406.66 | 1508.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.92 | -46.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.32 | 26.00 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |