← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 35' | 🟨 | Luca Ceppitelli · Venezia FC |
| 67' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟥 | Jesse Joronen · Venezia FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Nicholas Pierini · Venezia FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Michele Collocolo · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 150.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1479.45 | 1506.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.76 | 2.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 28.60 |
| state index | -0.35 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |