← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Sudtirol win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Spal −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Biagio Meccariello · Spal |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca Belardinelli · Sudtirol |
| 54' | ⚽ | Giovanni Zaro · Sudtirol |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 28.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1451.00 | 1510.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.49 | 28.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 34.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -1.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 28.58 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -1.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |