← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Oct 28, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Ternana win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bari −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 35' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ternana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 78' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 484.00 | 1365.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1554.36 | 1486.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.74 | 51.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |