← Serie B 2022 · Mon, Oct 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Ascoli win | 33% | 2.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Ascoli +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Claud Adjapong · Ascoli |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 47' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 81' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Ascoli |
| 85' | ⚽ | Leonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 115.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1496.48 | 1558.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.77 | -8.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 9.18 | 9.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.43 | 26.45 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |