← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Oct 23, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| Cittadella win | 29% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 11' | 🟨 | Salvatore Elia · Palermo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Claudio Gomes · Palermo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 72' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 78' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 83.00 | 479.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1512.05 | 1458.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.39 | -22.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.55 | 28.05 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |