← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Doveri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Ternana win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Genoa CFC +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Josep Martínez · Genoa CFC |
| 44' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Genoa CFC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Genoa CFC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1359.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1494.64 | 1604.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 73.60 | 8.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |