← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 49% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Perugia win | 22% | 5.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Reggina |
| 18' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 55' | 🟥 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Perugia |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gabriele Gori · Reggina |
| 87' | ⚽ | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 10 |
| 14 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 113.00 | 21.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1479.20 | 1434.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.76 | -39.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 46.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| league points | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |