β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Benevento win | 34% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento β0.25 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Como 1907 β0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | β½ | Alberto Cerri Β· Como 1907 |
| 8' | β½ | Maxime Leverbe Β· Benevento |
| 22' | β½ | Alberto Cerri Β· Como 1907 |
| 39' | π¨ | Nicholas Ioannou Β· Como 1907 |
| 40' | π¨ | Ilias Koutsoupias Β· Benevento |
| 40' | π¨ | Pasquale Schiattarella Β· Benevento |
| 45' | π¨ | Maxime Leverbe Β· Benevento |
| 46' | π¨ | Francesco Forte Β· Benevento |
| 68' | π¨ | Diego Farias Β· Benevento |
| 75' | π¨ | Cas Odenthal Β· Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 51.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1352.28 | 1522.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.90 | -40.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.76 |
| league points | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |