← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Venezia FC win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
| 87' | ⚽ | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 235.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1542.68 | 1475.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.27 | -17.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| league points | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |