← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Bari win | 24% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟥 | Nicola Bellomo · Bari |
| 25' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 32' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mallamo · Bari |
| 44' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · Frosinone Calcio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gianluca Frabotta · Frosinone Calcio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ilario Monterisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 600.00 | 478.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1539.43 | 1563.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.42 | 24.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 28.08 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |