← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Cosenza win | 21% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Spal −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
| 22' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 48' | ⚽ (og) | Ciro Panico · Spal |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 57' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 69' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 71' | 🟨 | Enrico Alfonso · Spal |
| 71' | 🟨 | Michele Rigione · Cosenza |
| 73' | ⚽ | Patryk Peda · Spal |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alassane Sidibe · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 21.00 | 143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1437.44 | 1381.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.46 | -8.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.75 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 25.40 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |