← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Oct 16, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Sudtirol win | 24% | 4.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Sudtirol |
| 24' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 40' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Perugia |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mirko Carretta · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 15.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1445.39 | 1491.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.26 | 31.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.90 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 34.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.25 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 29.28 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -2.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | — |