← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ascoli win | 23% | 4.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ascoli −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| -5' | 🟥 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 15' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 18' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 35' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 52' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Leonardo Benedetti · Bari |
| 78' | ⚽ | Lorenco Šimić · Ascoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrea D'Errico · Bari |
| 89' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 471.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1585.14 | 1474.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.58 | -41.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 29.67 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |