← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
| Como 1907 win | 26% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Modena −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Daniele Baselli · Como 1907 |
| 11' | ⚽ | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 23' | ⚽ | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mauro Coppolaro · Modena |
| 41' | ⚽ | Marco Armellino · Modena |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 50' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 51' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 53' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 72' | ⚽ | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 75' | 🟨 | Edoardo Duca · Modena |
| 84' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1079.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1402.10 | 1365.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.42 | -20.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.88 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.09 | 27.66 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |