← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Perugia win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Perugia +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 16' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 17' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Como 1907 |
| 34' | ⚽ | Tommaso Arrigoni · Como 1907 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Daniele Baselli · Como 1907 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Moutir Chajia · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enrico Celeghin · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Cagnano · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 38.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1354.78 | 1456.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.63 | -40.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 63.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 8.82 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 29.14 |
| state index | -1.33 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |