← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cittadella win | 25% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 32' | 🟨 | Raúl Asencio · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ignacio Lores Varela · Cittadella |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 221.00 | 464.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1555.27 | 1456.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.46 | -22.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 27.68 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |