β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Oct 8, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 43% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Bari win | 28% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC β0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bari β0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | β½ | Mirco Antenucci Β· Bari |
| 49' | π¨ | Mirco Antenucci Β· Bari |
| 56' | π¨ | Valerio Di Cesare Β· Bari |
| 59' | π¨ | Ridgeciano Haps Β· Venezia FC |
| 59' | π¨ | Raffaele Pucino Β· Bari |
| 70' | β½ | Pietro Ceccaroni Β· Venezia FC |
| 81' | π¨ | Jesse Joronen Β· Venezia FC |
| 83' | β½ (pen) | Walid Cheddira Β· Bari |
| 90' | π¨ | Marco Modolo Β· Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 129.00 | 464.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.27 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1501.81 | 1575.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.52 | 48.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 28.00 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |