← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Palermo win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Ternana |
| 57' | ⚽ | Anthony Partipilo · Ternana |
| 77' | ⚽ | Antonio Palumbo · Ternana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jérémie Broh · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Moro · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Raúl Moro · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 1345.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1463.55 | 1532.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.06 | -47.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 26.95 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |