← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Modena win | 26% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Modena −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 22' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 25' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 26' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 55' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 75' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟥 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 99.00 | 1072.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1488.99 | 1387.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.21 | 10.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 56.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.29 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.03 | 28.65 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |