← Serie B 2022 · Fri, Oct 7, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 53% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.80 |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 20% | 5.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Cagliari Calcio −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Morten Frendrup · Genoa CFC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alessandro Deiola · Cagliari Calcio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nahitan Nández · Cagliari Calcio |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kevin Strootman · Genoa CFC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Filippo Falco · Cagliari Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manolo Portanova · Genoa CFC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 279.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1601.91 | 1546.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.87 | -28.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 27.41 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |