← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Pisa −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Pisa |
| 14' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Mastinu · Pisa |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nícolas · Pisa |
| 57' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Perugia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 83' | ⚽ | Samuel Di Carmine · Perugia |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Ettore Gliozzi · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 0.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1473.85 | 1480.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.85 | -34.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.09 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.90 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.60 | 26.71 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.91 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |