← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Reggina win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Modena −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 33' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Reggina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 58' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Loiacono · Reggina |
| 60' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · Modena |
| 65' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1065.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1376.20 | 1491.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.08 | 58.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.33 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.33 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 28.84 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |