← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Sudtirol win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Palermo −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Andrea Masiello · Sudtirol |
| 17' | 🟨 | Alessio Buttaro · Palermo |
| 20' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 23' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Filippo Berra · Sudtirol |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mirko Carretta · Sudtirol |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Palermo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 61.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1545.68 | 1478.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.96 | -11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 51.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.17 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 29.15 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | — |