← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 38% | 2.68 |
| Brescia win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Brescia +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 23' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 24' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 26' | ⚽ | Nicola Bellomo · Bari |
| 43' | ⚽ | Walid Cheddira · Bari |
| 45' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 46' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Brescia |
| 55' | ⚽ | Walid Cheddira · Bari |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andrea D'Errico · Bari |
| 67' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mirco Antenucci · Bari |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Bari |
| 86' | ⚽ | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 457.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1559.36 | 1571.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.84 | 15.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| league points | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.56 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 29.56 | 26.03 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |