← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Modena win | 15% | 6.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Genoa CFC −1 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.78 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Modena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 44' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Genoa CFC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tommaso Silvestri · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Modena |
| 76' | 🟨 | Radu Drăguşin · Genoa CFC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Shady Oukhadda · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genoa CFC | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 259.00 | 1051.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1586.49 | 1379.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.64 | -14.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 26.05 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |