← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
| 21' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 22' | ⚽ | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 49' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 58' | ⚽ | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
| 78' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Riccardo Gagliolo · Reggina |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 88' | ⚽ | Gabriele Gori · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 78.00 | 443.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1475.93 | 1491.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 61.94 | 14.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | — |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.96 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |