β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Sep 17, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Miele
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.91 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol β0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cosenza β0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | β½ | Matteo Rover Β· Sudtirol |
| 34' | π¨ | Idriz Voca Β· Cosenza |
| 61' | π¨ | Giovanni Zaro Β· Sudtirol |
| 75' | π¨ | Fabian Tait Β· Sudtirol |
| 77' | β½ | Emil Kornvig Β· Cosenza |
| 87' | π¨ | Giovanni Crociata Β· Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 47.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | β | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1482.70 | 1381.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.30 | 14.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -1.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | β | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | β | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 26.35 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | β | 1.00 |