← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Spal win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
| 8' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 12' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 18' | 🟨 | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
| 43' | 🟨 | Paolo Faragò · Como 1907 |
| 46' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Spal |
| 59' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Spal |
| 72' | ⚽ | Nicholas Ioannou · Como 1907 |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cesc Fàbregas · Como 1907 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Niccolò Zanellato · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Blanco · Como 1907 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 16.00 | 259.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1365.47 | 1457.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.55 | 16.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.48 | 26.81 |
| state index | -1.16 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |