← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 44% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ascoli win | 27% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Perugia |
| 42' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Perugia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 51' | 🟨 | Francesco Donati · Ascoli |
| 67' | 🟨 | Samuel Giovane · Ascoli |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yeferson Paz · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 101.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1474.12 | 1513.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.15 | 3.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.40 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.82 |
| league points | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 0.25 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |