← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Cosenza win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bari +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Walid Cheddira · Bari |
| 61' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 85' | 🟨 | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 89' | 🟥 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enrico Brignola · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianmarco Cangiano · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 101.00 | 436.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1389.46 | 1539.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.15 | 14.47 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.20 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.75 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |