← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Brescia win | 34% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Brescia +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Modena |
| 24' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Simone Panada · Modena |
| 61' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Brescia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Vincenzo Garofalo · Brescia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1044.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.55 |
| elo | 1390.44 | 1552.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.48 | -0.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 48.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.77 |
| league points | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.50 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.75 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.50 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 25.67 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |