← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Cittadella win | 32% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Cittadella +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Caso · Frosinone Calcio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gianfilippo Felicioli · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Boloca · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 436.00 | 558.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1481.59 | 1522.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.85 | 13.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 25.64 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |