β Serie B 2022 Β· Sat, Sep 3, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spal win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari β0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Spal β0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | β½ | Walid Cheddira Β· Bari |
| 12' | π¨ | Christian Dalle Mura Β· Spal |
| 36' | π¨ | Mattia Maita Β· Bari |
| 44' | π¨ | Lorenzo Dickmann Β· Spal |
| 45' | β½ | Mirco Antenucci Β· Bari |
| 47' | π¨ | Nicola Bellomo Β· Bari |
| 55' | π¨ | Biagio Meccariello Β· Spal |
| 63' | β½ | Andrea La Mantia Β· Spal |
| 69' | β½ | Simone Rabbi Β· Spal |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 429.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1543.56 | 1438.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.21 | 33.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| league points | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.72 | 6.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | β |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.70 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |