← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Sep 3, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Cittadella win | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
| 24' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 29' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Raúl Asencio · Cittadella |
| 49' | 🟥 | Raúl Asencio · Cittadella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 52' | 🟥 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eric Botteghin · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mamadou Tounkara · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 64.00 | 429.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1515.97 | 1478.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.11 | 1.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 6.72 | 5.72 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | — |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 26.94 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |