β Serie B 2022 Β· Sun, Aug 28, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.29 |
| Sudtirol win | 25% | 4.24 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol β0.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Reggina β0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | π¨ | Raphael Odogwu Β· Sudtirol |
| 10' | π¨ | Lorenzo Crisetig Β· Reggina |
| 12' | π¨ | Marco Curto Β· Sudtirol |
| 24' | π₯ | Marco Curto Β· Sudtirol |
| 35' | β½ | Giovanni Fabbian Β· Reggina |
| 45' | β½ | Zan Majer Β· Reggina |
| 50' | π¨ | Giovanni Fabbian Β· Reggina |
| 61' | β½ | NiccolΓ² Pierozzi Β· Reggina |
| 69' | π¨ | Marco Pompetti Β· Sudtirol |
| 70' | β½ | Alessandro Lombardi Β· Reggina |
| 84' | π¨ | Simone Mazzocchi Β· Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | β |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 58.00 | 27.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | β |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | β |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | β |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | β |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | β |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | β |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | β |
| elo | 1424.39 | 1477.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.28 | β |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | β |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | β |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | β |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | β |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | β |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | β |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | β |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | β |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 79.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.50 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | β |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | β |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | β |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.69 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | β |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | β |