← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Bari win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 10' | ⚽ | Michael Folorunsho · Bari |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 42' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Walid Cheddira · Bari |
| 55' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Perugia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Perugia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 63' | 🟥 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Perugia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 65' | 🟥 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
| 67' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andrea D'Errico · Bari |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mirco Antenucci · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 88.00 | 423.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.79 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1496.93 | 1527.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.03 | 5.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 86.50 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 29.63 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | 1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |