← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 39% | 2.56 |
| Venezia FC win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Dario Del Fabro · Cittadella |
| 71' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cittadella |
| 85' | ⚽ | Michaël Cuisance · Venezia FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aaron Connolly · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 423.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1479.77 | 1508.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.31 | 23.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -12.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |