← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Aug 28, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Pairetto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 32% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · Frosinone Calcio |
| 35' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
| 37' | 🟨 | Daniel Boloca · Frosinone Calcio |
| 57' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
| 59' | ⚽ | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 62' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Benevento |
| 79' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Frosinone Calcio |
| 83' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Benevento |
| 87' | 🟨 | Daam Foulon · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 453.00 | 545.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.09 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1539.23 | 1522.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.39 | 10.88 |
| eye test v1 | -1.41 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 25.29 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |