← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Ternana win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Modena −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Giorgio Cittadini · Modena |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Diaw · Modena |
| 32' | ⚽ (og) | Marco Capuano · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sebastien De Maio · Modena |
| 50' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Ternana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 65' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Modena |
| 68' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 1030.00 | 1303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.49 |
| elo | 1376.95 | 1441.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.59 | 15.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 27.79 |
| state index | -1.41 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |