← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ascoli win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Roberto Crivello · Palermo |
| 36' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 52' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nicola Valente · Palermo |
| 63' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Francesco Donati · Ascoli |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nicola Leali · Ascoli |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nicola Valente · Palermo |
| 89' | 🟥 | Nicola Valente · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 26.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1579.86 | 1502.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.60 | 17.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.82 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 28.49 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |