← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spal win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Spal −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Spal |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Gondo · Ascoli |
| 23' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
| 24' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 26' | ⚽ | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Ascoli |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Spal |
| 56' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 59' | 🟨 | Matteo Arena · Spal |
| 85' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 50.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1506.13 | 1422.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.35 | 20.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 27.83 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |