← Serie B 2022 · Sun, Aug 14, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Reggina win | 22% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reggina −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Giovanni Fabbian · Reggina |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 47' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Reggina |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 62' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 67' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Reggina |
| 79' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Spal |
| 88' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Murgia · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 225.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1440.71 | 1413.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.57 | -30.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -1.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | — |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |