← Serie B 2022 · Sat, Aug 13, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Perugia win | 29% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Edoardo Iannoni · Perugia |
| 12' | 🟨 | Cristian Dell'Orco · Perugia |
| 23' | 🟥 | Francesco Lisi · Perugia |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 32' | 🟨 | Roberto Floriano · Palermo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Miloš Vulić · Perugia |
| 52' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Perugia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcos Curado · Perugia |
| 68' | ⚽ | Salvatore Elia · Palermo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 12.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1569.66 | 1508.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.31 | 28.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 49.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 26.82 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |