← Süper Lig 2023 · Sun, May 26, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Karaoğlan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Trabzonspor win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Ankaragücü +0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Rayyan Baniya · Trabzonspor |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Anastasios Chatzigiovanis · Ankaragücü |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bahadır Han Güngördü · Ankaragücü |
| 63' | ⚽ | Edin Višća · Trabzonspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Uroš Radaković · Ankaragücü |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ali Sowe · Ankaragücü |
| 86' | 🟨 | Kazımcan Karataş · Ankaragücü |
| 87' | ⚽ | Enis Destan · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Muhammet Taha Tepe · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enis Destan · Trabzonspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Ankaragücü |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Papara Park |
| coach days | 238.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1636.22 | 1509.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.41 | -23.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| league points | 74.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.61 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 28.51 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.11 |